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Setting the Record Straight

Data Centers and Electricity Rates

16.43¢
Per kWh

Virginia's average residential rate as of May 2026, tracking well below the national average of approximately 18 cents.

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9% Below 
​National Average

Virginia's current residential electricity rate, despite hosting more data centers than anywhere in the world.

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~24% SCC Cut
to ​Dominion's Rate Request

The Virginia SCC reduced Dominion's requested rate increase by nearly 24% in 2026 and over 51% in 2027, protecting residential customers.
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Virginia's Track Record

The world's largest data center market.
Among the lowest residential rates in the country.

Virginia is home to more data center capacity than any other jurisdiction on the planet. Yet Virginia residents are still paying among the lowest electricity rates in the country. That is not an accident.


It is partly because large commercial customers like data centers carry a disproportionate share of transmission infrastructure costs. That cost-sharing dynamic keeps residential bills lower, not higher. Dominion Energy has projected residential electric bills through 2039 growing by only about 2.5% per year, which is below normal inflation, with rates trending 14% below the national average.

Source: Dominion Energy bills set to rise by 50% by 2039 | 13 News Now

The Virginia State Corporation Commission has already addressed forward-looking rate concerns by creating a new rate class requiring data centers to sign 14-year contracts with demand charges. Dominion has stated those protections ensure data centers pay their fair share and prevent costs from being shifted to residential customers.
Source: Virginia Regulators Approve New Dominion Rates, Assign More Costs to Data Centers | Inside Climate News

What is actually driving your bill up

Bills are rising, and residents deserve an honest explanation. Three things are driving the increase: clean energy mandates, fuel and market costs, and data center demand on the regional grid. Here is what the data shows about each, and how they show up on a real Dominion bill.

Clean Energy Mandates
and Legislative Riders

The fastest-growing part of your Dominion bill isn't the electricity itself; it's a set of fees called "riders," or rate adjustment clauses, that don't appear as line items on your statement but add up fast. These are charges the Virginia legislature and regulators have authorized Dominion to collect for specific projects: an offshore wind development ($11.23/month), clean energy certificates Dominion is required to purchase ($7.98/month), nuclear plant upgrades ($3.48/month), additional clean energy projects ($3.67/month), and coal site cleanup including Possum Point ($1.77/month). Since 2007, riders have grown 20 times faster than base rates, adding $53 to the average monthly bill while base rates added only a fraction of that. These costs are driven by legislation, not by any single industry.

Fuel Costs and 
Daily Market Prices

The single largest charge on a Dominion bill is the fuel rider: $29.68 per month for the average residential customer. This covers the cost of natural gas, diesel, coal, and power Dominion purchases on regional daily markets. These market prices have surged, up 50% between 2024 and 2025, driven by factors including geopolitical instability and record-breaking temperatures that spike demand. Because Dominion generates most of its own power, it's somewhat insulated from daily auction volatility, but customers still bear the cost of the fuel used to run those plants.

Data Center Demand
and Ratepayer Protections

Data center growth has contributed to tighter power supply on the regional grid, and that pressure is real. Wholesale capacity auction prices for 2026–2027 were 800% higher than the prior year, and those costs are starting to show up on bills. But utilities have taken active steps to limit how much of that burden lands on residential customers. NOVEC, for example, has entered long-term contracts and hedged aggressively. The result: data center rates at NOVEC increased 76% since 2023, while residential rates rose just 3.3%. Virginia regulators have gone further, creating a dedicated rate class (GS-5) requiring large customers like data centers to sign 14-year contracts and pay a minimum share of demand charges, specifically to prevent cost-shifting to households. The net effect on the average Dominion bill from data center capacity costs: $1.98 per month.

Dominion Bill Breakdown – Gigaland

Where your $172/month actually goes

Virginia bills include base rates plus a set of "riders." These are fee line items that don't appear on your statement but are charged every month. Here is how they break down, by what's driving them.

Clean Energy Mandates & Legislative Riders
Offshore wind project shareDominion's portion of an $11.5B offshore wind development$11.23 ↑ $2.60
Clean energy certificatesDominion is legislated to buy green-energy credits it doesn't generate$7.98 ↑ $3.00
Clean energy projectsBroader portfolio of state-mandated renewable investments$3.67 ↑ $1.48
Nuclear plant upgradesMaintenance and modernization of existing nuclear capacity$3.48
Coal site cleanupRemediation of sites including Possum Point$1.77 ↑ $0.59
Small modular reactor (development)Early-stage charge; will rise once construction begins$0.29
Fuel & Daily Market Costs
Fuel riderNatural gas, diesel, coal, and purchased power from the regional auction - the single largest line on any Dominion bill$29.68
Grid Infrastructure & Transmission
Transmission riderNew towers, lines, and grid upgrades, on top of a $9.70 base transmission charge$11.79
New gas peaker plantHandles peak demand spikes; rate went into effect March 2026$0.75 New
Data center capacity costs (residential share)After Dominion's own generation and SCC's GS-5 rate class protections, the portion passed to residents$1.98
Base Rates (Generation, Transmission, Distribution)
Base rate increaseFirst base rate hike since 1992, effective 2026$11.34 New
Transmission base charge$9.70
Capacity reserve (base rates)Power reserved for future years$1.98
Clean Energy Mandates & Riders~$28.42
Fuel & Market Costs$29.68
Grid Infrastructure & Transmission~$14.52
Base Rates~$23.02
Average Monthly Bill~$172
Bill growth since 2007
+90%
From $90.59 to $172/month over 19 years
Riders vs. base rate growth
20×
Riders grew 20 times faster than base rates since 2007
NOVEC: data centers vs. residents
76% vs. 3.3%
Rate increases since 2023 - residents are shielded

Source: Prince William Times (April 1, 2026) (Peter Cary) • Joint Legislative Audit & Review CommissionRealClear Energy (May 13, 2026)Virginia State Corporation Commission October 2025 reportDominion Energy · NOVEC

What four major studies found

The claim that data centers drive up residential electricity rates has been examined by multiple independent research organizations.
None found evidence to support it.

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Data centers are not the primary cause of rising rates

LBNL researchers found that data centers can actually lower electricity rates by spreading fixed grid infrastructure costs across a larger customer base. The more demand on the grid, the lower the per-unit cost for everyone.


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Charles River Associates, Feb. 2026

Retail rates have largely tracked inflation, not data center growth

A CRA study commissioned by the Edison Electric Institute found that Americans' electric bills have been widely protected from increases related to data center development. Where rate increases did occur, the timing and location were not consistent with the timeline of data center growth.


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Institute for Energy Research, March 2026

No proven link between data centers and electricity prices

IER examined all 50 states and found no relationship between the number of data centers and electricity prices. The top ten data center states averaged 14.46 cents per kWh in 2025, virtually identical to the 14.39 cent average across all other states. Notably, states where electricity sales grew faster actually paid less for electricity.


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Energy + Environmental Economics

No evidence of historical cost shifts from data centers to ratepayers

An E3 whitepaper examining quantitative evidence across utility territories found no evidence of historical subsidization; data center payments to utilities exceeded the incremental cost to serve each facility, generating net surplus revenue. Under the right conditions, large loads can lower rates for all customers.


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The PJM capacity price concern is real,
but it is a separate question

Some critics have raised legitimate concerns about rising PJM wholesale capacity auction prices. Those concerns are worth taking seriously. PJM capacity auction prices surged 833% between the 2024/2025 and 2025/2026 delivery years, driven largely by data center expansion and AI-related load growth. But wholesale capacity pricing is a separate question from what Fauquier residents pay on their monthly bill.

Virginia's State Corporation Commission has been active on precisely this concern. In November 2025, the SCC issued its final order creating the new GS-5 rate class, requiring large load customers to pay a minimum of 85% of contracted distribution and transmission demand and 60% of generation demand, specifically to insulate other ratepayers from costs driven by data center infrastructure buildout.

Customers in the GS-5 class are also required to sign 14-year contracts ensuring they pay for their proposed energy costs even if they use less power or if planned data centers are not built. The forward-looking risk has been recognized and acted on at the regulatory level. 

The narrative that data centers are driving up your electric bill, at least in Virginia, is not supported by the data. That is a story worth telling accurately.

Source: Virginia SCC press release (Nov. 25, 2025) • American Action Forum analysis (Jan. 8, 2026) • Virginia Mercury (Nov. 25, 2025)