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Setting the Record Straight

Data Centers and Electricity Rates

Claims that data centers drive up residential electricity bills are not supported by the data. Here is what independent research actually shows, and what Virginia's own numbers tell us.

16.43¢
Per kWh

Virginia's average residential rate as of May 2026, tracking well below the national average of approximately 18 cents.

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9% Below 
​National Average

Virginia's current residential electricity rate, despite hosting more data centers than anywhere in the world.

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~24% SCC Cut
to ​Dominion's Rate Request

The Virginia SCC reduced Dominion's requested rate increase by nearly 24% in 2026 and over 51% in 2027, protecting residential customers.
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Virginia's Track Record

The world's largest data center market.
Among the lowest residential rates in the country.

Virginia is home to more data center capacity than any other jurisdiction on the planet. Yet Virginia residents are still paying among the lowest electricity rates in the country. That is not an accident.


It is partly because large commercial customers like data centers carry a disproportionate share of transmission infrastructure costs. That cost-sharing dynamic keeps residential bills lower, not higher. Dominion Energy has projected residential electric bills through 2039 growing by only about 2.5% per year, which is below normal inflation, with rates trending 14% below the national average.

Source: Dominion Energy bills set to rise by 50% by 2039 | 13 News Now

The Virginia State Corporation Commission has already addressed forward-looking rate concerns by creating a new rate class requiring data centers to sign 14-year contracts with demand charges. Dominion has stated those protections ensure data centers pay their fair share and prevent costs from being shifted to residential customers.
Source: Virginia Regulators Approve New Dominion Rates, Assign More Costs to Data Centers | Inside Climate News

What is actually driving your bill up

Bills are rising, and residents deserve an honest explanation. Three things are driving the increase: clean energy mandates, fuel and market costs, and data center demand on the regional grid. Here is what the data shows about each, and how they show up on a real Dominion bill.

Clean Energy Mandates and Legislative Riders

This is the fastest-growing portion of the bill, increasing 20 times faster than base rates since 2007. The associated costs result from legislative and regulatory requirements, not data center operations.

Fuel Costs and
Daily Market Prices

Fuel costs are rising, partly due to geopolitical factors and record temperatures. The resulting increases are reflected in the largest single rider on a Dominion bill, at $29.68 per month.

Data Center Demand and Ratepayer Protections

Data center electricity demand contributes to capacity pricing pressures. However, utilities such as NOVEC have shielded residential customers from these costs, with data center rates increasing 76% since 2023 compared to just 3.3% for residential customers.

What four major studies found

The claim that data centers drive up residential electricity rates has been examined by multiple independent research organizations.
None found evidence to support it.

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Data centers are not the primary cause of rising rates

LBNL researchers found that data centers can actually lower electricity rates by spreading fixed grid infrastructure costs across a larger customer base. The more demand on the grid, the lower the per-unit cost for everyone.


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Charles River Associates, Feb. 2026

Retail rates have largely tracked inflation, not data center growth

A CRA study commissioned by the Edison Electric Institute found that Americans' electric bills have been widely protected from increases related to data center development. Where rate increases did occur, the timing and location were not consistent with the timeline of data center growth.


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Institute for Energy Research, March 2026

No proven link between data centers and electricity prices

IER examined all 50 states and found no relationship between the number of data centers and electricity prices. The top ten data center states averaged 14.46 cents per kWh in 2025, virtually identical to the 14.39 cent average across all other states. Notably, states where electricity sales grew faster actually paid less for electricity.


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Energy + Environmental Economics

No evidence of historical cost shifts from data centers to ratepayers

An E3 whitepaper examining quantitative evidence across utility territories found no evidence of historical subsidization; data center payments to utilities exceeded the incremental cost to serve each facility, generating net surplus revenue. Under the right conditions, large loads can lower rates for all customers.


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The PJM capacity price concern is real,
but it is a separate question

Some critics have raised legitimate concerns about rising PJM wholesale capacity auction prices. Those concerns are worth taking seriously. PJM capacity auction prices surged 833% between the 2024/2025 and 2025/2026 delivery years, driven largely by data center expansion and AI-related load growth. But wholesale capacity pricing is a separate question from what Fauquier residents pay on their monthly bill.

Virginia's State Corporation Commission has been active on precisely this concern. In November 2025, the SCC issued its final order creating the new GS-5 rate class, requiring large load customers to pay a minimum of 85% of contracted distribution and transmission demand and 60% of generation demand, specifically to insulate other ratepayers from costs driven by data center infrastructure buildout.

Customers in the GS-5 class are also required to sign 14-year contracts ensuring they pay for their proposed energy costs even if they use less power or if planned data centers are not built. The forward-looking risk has been recognized and acted on at the regulatory level. 

The narrative that data centers are driving up your electric bill, at least in Virginia, is not supported by the data. That is a story worth telling accurately.

Sources: Virginia SCC press release (Nov. 25, 2025) • American Action Forum analysis (Jan. 8, 2026) • Virginia Mercury (Nov. 25, 2025)